| TABLE 5. | SENSITIVITY OF CENTENARIAN PREVALENCE ESTIMATES(PER 100 MILLION POPULATION) |
|
Percentile | ||||
| 2.5 | 25 | 50 | 75 | 97.5 | |
| Base model | 0.10 | 1.30 | 4.72 | 16.9 | 144 |
| e50 = 10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.0 |
| e50 = 12 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.31 | 1.7 | 30 |
| e50 = 16 | 1.25 | 13.5 | 35.4 | 87.2 | 401 |
| e50 = 18 | 8.98 | 66.7 | 155.9 | 324.0 | 1083 |
| Higher 5m50 | 0.53 | 7.41 | 26.0 | 79.7 | 610 |
| Lower 5m50 | 0.02 | 0.35 | 1.32 | 4.4 | 36 |
| Higher c | 0.03 | 0.69 | 2.71 | 9.5 | 86 |
| Lower c | 0.31 | 3.07 | 8.94 | 31.3 | 189 |
| Higher asymptote | 0.02 | 0.50 | 2.09 | 9.5 | 83 |
| Lower asymptote | 0.31 | 3.53 | 10.1 | 27.5 | 178 |
| Larger s | 0.02 | 0.80 | 4.43 | 25.4 | 514 |
| Smaller s | 0.23 | 1.73 | 4.81 | 12.2 | 73 |
| Wild card l50 | 0.10 | 1.32 | 4.82 | 16.5 | 161 |
| r = -1% | 0.22 | 2.91 | 10.6 | 37.5 | 311 |
| r = +1% | 0.05 | 0.61 | 2.21 | 8.0 | 69 |
| r = +2% | 0.02 | 0.27 | 0.98 | 3.5 | 31 |