August 17, 2016 | News
European Population Conference 2016
Conference Theme: Demographic Change and Policy Implications
31 August until 3 September 2016, Mainz, Germany
Conference Participants from the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Rostock, Germany (excerpt of the EPC 2016 program; for complete program please see http://epc2016.princeton.edu/).
Thursday, September 1 / 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Session 2. Mortality and longevity
Chair: Domantas Jasilionis, MPIDR and Vytautas Magnus University
Education, cognitive ability and cause-specific mortality: a structural approach • Govert Bijwaard, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI); Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Finn Rasmussen, Karolinska Institutet; Per Tynelius, Karolinska Institutet.
Session 7. Migration and the life course
Formation and realisation of migration intentions across the adult life course: evidence from Norway • Sebastian Klüsener, MPIDR; Lars Dommermuth, Statistics Norway.
Session 8. Assortative mating
Trends in relative status of men and women in educationally hypogamous unions in Sweden • Margarita Chudnovskaya, Stockholm University; Ridhi Kashyap, University of Oxford and MPIDR.
Thursday, September 1 / 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM
Session 15. Longevity advances and their determinants
The alterability of mortality risk factors over time • Frederik Peters, Universität Rostock and MPIDR; Marcus Ebeling, Universität Rostock and MPIDR; Roland Rau, Universität Rostock and MPIDR; Bohk-Ewald, MPIDR.
The gestational age pattern of human mortality • Jonas Schöley, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging and University of Southern Denmark; James W. Vaupel, MPIDR and Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; James E. Oeppen, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging.
Session 17. The impact of recession on life course
Recent trends in US working life expectancy by sex, education, and race and the impact of the Great Recession • Dudel, MPIDR; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
Session 21. Regional mortality differences
Adding the subnational dimension to the systematic analysis of the longevity revolution: Opportunities and challenges in establishing a subnational Human Mortality Database • Rembrandt D. Scholz, MPIDR; Sebastian Klüsener, MPIDR; Pavel Grigoriev, MPIDR; Dmitri A. Jdanov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia; Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia.
Mortality disparities across Russia: evidence from a small area analysis • Sergey Timonin, National Research University Higher School of Economics; Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia; Evgeni Andreev, MPIDR.
Thursday, September 1 / 12:30 PM - 2:00 PM
P1. Poster Session 1
68. Risk families and the unequal distribution of deaths in France and Sweden during the 19th century • Catalina Torres, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging and University of Southern Denmark; James E. Oeppen, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; James W. Vaupel, MPIDR and Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging.
Thursday, September 1 / 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM
Session 28. Health disparities and well-being at older ages
Disparities in cognitive functioning of U.S. older adults by race and Hispanic origin • Carlos Diaz-Venegas, MPIDR; Brian Downer, University of Texas at Galveston; Kenneth M. Langa, University of Michigan; Rebeca Wong, University of Texas at Galveston.
Session 30. Innovations in demographic methods
Measuring the importance of age • Annette Baudisch, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; Marcus Ebeling, Universität Rostock and MPIDR.
A note on the relative importance of demographic metabolism: the case of trust • Héctor Pifarré i Arolas, MPIDR.
A unified framework of demographic time • Tim Riffe, MPIDR; Jonas Schöley, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging and University of Southern Denmark; Francisco Villavicencio, University of Southern Denmark and Max Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging.
Session 35. Survival: Exploring biological and confounding factors
Estimating the statistical curability of cancer • Mathias Voigt, MPIDR.
Is a rise in the prevalence of chronic conditions an inevitable consequence of better survival? Exploring variations in the prevalence of renal replacement therapy, and life expectancy in Europe, 2001-2011 • Ronny Westerman, Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB); Frederik Peters, Universität Rostock and MPIDR; Roland Rau, Universität Rostock and MPIDR.
Session 36. Mortality in Central and Eastern Europe
Chair: Pavel Grigoriev, MPIDR
Thursday, September 1 / 4:00 PM - 5:30 PM
Session 39. Employment and well-being
Disentangling the associations between employment, income and antidepressant use: an application of the parametric G-formula • Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR; Lasse Tarkiainen, University of Helsinki; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki.
Session 48. Dimensions of health transition in developing countries
Trends and sub-national disparities in neonatal mortality in India from 1981 to 2011 • Nandita Saikia, Jawaharlal Nehru University; Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia.
Friday, September 2 / 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Session 50. Disparities in mortality trends across developed countries
Health convergence between East and West Germany as reflected in long-term cause-specific mortality trends: how much was due to reunification? • Pavel Grigoriev, MPIDR; Marketa Pechholdova, University of Economics, Prague (VSE).
Why are Northern Europeans falling behind in life expectancy? An international comparison of age and cause of death, 1970-2009 • Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR; Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia.
Session 60. Physical health of older adults
Change of socioeconomic inequalities in length of stay in hospital with increasing age: Cumulative (dis)advantage or age-as-leveler? • Yaoyue Hu, MPIDR; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki.
Friday, September 2 / 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM
Session 66. Forecasting mortality
Modeling and forecasting age at death distributions • Ugofilippo Basellini, MPIDR; Carlo G. Camarda, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED).
Complementing the evaluation toolkit of mortality forecasts with measures of lifespan disparity • Bohk-Ewald, MPIDR; Marcus Ebeling, Universität Rostock and MPIDR; Roland Rau, Universität Rostock and MPIDR.
The importance of the reference population for coherent mortality forecasting models • Søren Kjærgaard, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging; James W. Vaupel, MPIDR and Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging.
Session 67. Education and fertility 2
Inverse or U-shaped educational gradient in fertility differentials? Evidence from census-linked data for Lithuania • Aiva Jasilioniene, MPIDR; Vlada Stankuniene, Vytautas Magnus University; Domantas Jasilionis, MPIDR and Vytautas Magnus University.
Education, other socioeconomic characteristics across the life course and fertility in men • Jessica Nisén, University of Helsinki; Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Karri Silventoinen, University of Helsinki.
Session 69. Data sources and methods quality
How much can we trust life tables? Sensitivity of mortality measures to right-censoring treatment • Trifon I. Missov, MPIDR; Laszlo Nemeth, MPIDR; Maciej Danko, MPIDR.
Session 70. Mobility and population dynamics in the past
Rural exodus and fertility at the time of industrialization • Robert Stelter, MPIDR; Thomas Baudin, Université Catholique de Louvain.
Friday, September 2 / 12:30 PM - 2:00 PM
P2. Poster Session 2
46. Can we verify the existence of a human mortality plateau today or in the near future? • Laszlo Nemeth, MPIDR; Maciej Danko, MPIDR; Trifon I. Missov, MPIDR.
47. Reconstructing mortality in Brazilian municipalities: methods, limitations, and examples • Bernardo L. Queiroz, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG); Everton E. C. Lima, Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP); Trifon I. Missov, MPIDR; Adam Lenart, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging and University of Southern Denmark.
50. Deviations from best practices mortality in Mexico: homicides and adult mortality, 1990-2010 • Nancy Plascencia, Independent Consultant; Jose Manuel Aburto, MPIDR; Ainhoa Alustiza, MPIDR; Tim Riffe, MPIDR.
58. Widowhood and immune system: register-based study of anti-infective medication use in Denmark, 1995-2012 • Adriana Santacroce, Sapienza Università di Roma; Jonas Wastesson, Karolinska Institutet; Kaare Christensen, University of Southern Denmark and Odense University Hospital; Anna Oksuzyan, MPIDR.
Friday, September 2 / 2:00 PM - 3:30 PM
Session 76. Gender disparities in health
Gender health differences in West and East Germany • Mine Kühn, MPIDR; Christian Dudel, MPIDR; Tobias C. Vogt, MPIDR; Anna Oksuzyan, MPIDR.
Session 77. Gender, fertility and sex preferences
Does prenatal sex selection substitute postnatal excess female child mortality? • Ridhi Kashyap, University of Oxford and MPIDR.
Session 82. Lifespan disparity and longevity
Chair: Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia
Lifespan dispersion in stagnant and decreasing periods of life expectancy in Eastern Europe • Jose Manuel Aburto, MPIDR; Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR.
Friday, September 2 / 4:00 PM - 5:30 PM
Session 89. Health in contexts
Chair: Anna Oksuzyan, MPIDR
Session 94. Education and fertility 3
The emerging positive educational gradient in fertility in Belgium: A multi-level regional analysis of a vanguard country • Jonas Wood, Universiteit Antwerpen; Sebastian Klüsener, MPIDR; Karel Neels, Universiteit Antwerpen; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
Session 99. Influences of advantages and disadvantages across the life course on mortality
Past trends of obesity attributable mortality in Europe: an application of age-period-cohort analysis • Nikoletta Vidra, University of Groningen; Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR; Sergi Trias-Llimós, University of Groningen; Fanny Janssen, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) and University of Groningen.
Saturday, September 3 / 9:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Session 100. Analyzing life expectancy and lifespan: factors and methods
Chair: Frederik Peters, Universität Rostock and MPIDR
Session 106. Advances in cause of death analysis
Diversity of cause-of-death coding practices across Russian regions • Inna Danilova, MPIDR and National Research University Higher School of Economics; Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia; Dmitri A. Jdanov, MPIDR and New Economic School, Russia; France Meslé, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Jacques Vallin, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED).
A non-parametric approach to decompose the young adult mortality hump by causes of death • Adrien Remund, Université de Genève and Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED); Tim Riffe, MPIDR; Carlo G. Camarda, Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED).
Session 111. Before, during and after the fertility transition
The evolution of mean paternal age in a long perspective – are today’s fathers really older than back in the days? • Kai Willfuehr, MPIDR; Sebastian Klüsener, MPIDR.
Saturday, September 3 / 11:00 AM - 12:30 PM
Session 121. Ethnicity, migration, and mortality
Sex differences in mortality by ethnic background • Anna Oksuzyan, MPIDR; Sven Drefahl, Stockholm University; Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen, Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging.
Session 122. Maternal age, living environments and well-being
Advanced maternal age is not an independent risk factor for low birth weight and preterm delivery: a within-family analysis using Finnish population registers • Alice Goisis, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Hanna Remes, University of Helsinki; Kieron Barclay, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE); Pekka Martikainen, University of Helsinki; Mikko Myrskylä, MPIDR and London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE).
also attending EPC 2016:
Heiner Maier
Daniel Schneider