Fertility and Well-Being

At a Glance Projects Publications Team


Improvement and Evaluation of Fertility Forecasts

Mathias Lerch, Peng Li, Mikko Myrskylä, Christina Bohk-Ewald (MPIDR / University of Helsinki, Finland)

This project aims to develop, revise, and assess methods for forecasting cohort fertility to improve their forecasting performance and to determine the conditions in which their application is most appropriate. These conditions are specified by, e.g., age, calendar year, and country.  Detailed Description

Research Keywords:

Fertility Development, Statistics and Mathematics


Bohk-Ewald, C.; Li, P.; Myrskylä, M.:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115:37, 9187–9192. (2018)    
The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) in Rostock is one of the leading demographic research centers in the world. It's part of the Max Planck Society, the internationally renowned German research society.