Laboratory

Demographic Data

At a Glance Projects Publications Team

Project

Estimating Mortality and Human Losses during Health Crises

Conducted by Dmitri A. Jdanov; Domantas Jasilionis, Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, László Németh, Isabella Marinetti, Marina Kolobova, Marília R. Nepomuceno; in Collaboration with David Leon (The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom), Nazrul Islam (University of Southampton, United Kingdom)

We extend and apply a uniform set of direct and indirect methods to estimate mortality surfaces and the impact of short-term risk factors for countries that sustain human losses due to epidemics and natural and human-made disasters.  Detailed Description

Publications

Jdanov, D. A.; Jasilionis, D.; Tarkiainen, L.; Martikainen, P.:

Inequality in life expectancy losses by education in Finland during COVID-19 pandemic

International Journal for Equity in Health 25, 1–12. (2026)    

Shkolnikov, V. M.; Timonin, S. A.; Jdanov, D. A.; Medina-Jaudes, N.; Islam, N.; Leon, D. A.:

Widening East-West inequality in life expectancy in Europe during the COVID-19 pandemic: an international comparative study

PLOS One 21:2, e0344003–e0344003. (2026)    

Islam, N.; López, F. J. G.; Jdanov, D. A.; Royo-Bordonada, M. Á.; Khunti, K.; Lewington, S.; Lacey, B.; White, M.; Morris, E. J.; Zunzunegui, M. V.:

Unequal impact of COVID-19 on excess deaths, life expectancy, and premature mortality in Spanish regions (2020-2021)

Gaceta Sanitaria 38:102424, 1–14. (2024)    

Shkolnikov, V. M.; Jdanov, D. A.; Majeed, A.; Islam, N.:

Making sense of national and international disparities in excess mortality from the COVID-19 pandemic [Editorial]

BMJ Global Health 9:4, e015737–e015737. (2024)    

Islam, N.; Jdanov, D. A.:

Age and sex adjustments are critical when comparing death rates [Editorial]

BMJ 381, p845–p845. (2023)    

Shkolnikov, V. M.; Klimkin, I.; McKee, M.; Jdanov, D. A.; Alustiza Galarza, A.; Németh, L.; Timonin, S. A.; Nepomuceno, M. R.; Andreev, E. M.; Leon, D. A.:

What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and previous winter peaks

SSM-Population Health 18:101118, 1–13. (2022)    

Timonin, S. A.; Klimkin, I.; Shkolnikov, V. M.; Andreev, E. M.; McKee, M.; Leon, D. A.:

Excess mortality in Russia and its regions compared to high income countries: an analysis of monthly series of 2020

SSM-Population Health 17:101006, 1–14. (2022)    

Islam, N.; Jdanov, D. A.; Shkolnikov, V. M.; Khunti, K.; Kawachi, I.; White, M.; Lewington, S.; Lacey, B.:

Effects of covid-19 pandemic on life expectancy and premature mortality in 2020: time series analysis in 37 countries

BMJ 375:e066768, 1–14. (2021)    

Islam, N.; Shkolnikov, V. M.; Acosta, R. J.; Klimkin, I.; Kawachi, I.; Irizarry, R. A.; Alicandro, G.; Khunti, K.; Yates, T.; Jdanov, D. A.; White, M.; Lewington, S.; Lacey, B.:

Excess deaths associated with covid-19 pandemic in 2020: age and sex disaggregated time series analysis in 29 high income countries

BMJ 373:n1137, 1–14. (2021)    

Jdanov, D. A.; Alustiza Galarza, A.; Shkolnikov, V. M.; Jasilionis, D.; Németh, L.; Leon, D. A.; Boe, C.; Barbieri, M.:

The short-term mortality fluctuation data series, monitoring mortality shocks across time and space

Scientific Data 8:235, 1–8. (2021)    

Klimkin, I.; Shkolnikov, V. M.; Jdanov, D. A.:

Calculation of week-specific age-standardized death rates from STMF data on mortality by broad age intervals

MPIDR Working Paper WP-2021-004. (2021)    

Németh, L.; Jdanov, D. A.; Shkolnikov, V. M.:

An open-sourced, web-based application to analyze weekly excess mortality based on the Short-term Mortality Fluctuations data series

PLOS One 16:2, e0246663–e0246663. (2021)    

Leon, D. A.; Jarvis, C. I.; Johnson, A. M.; Smeeth, L.; Shkolnikov, V. M.:

What can trends in hospital deaths from COVID-19 tell us about the progress and peak of the pandemic? An analysis of death counts from England announced up to 25 April 2020

medRxiv preprints. unpublished. (2020)    

Trias Llimós, S.; Alustiza Galarza, A.; Prats, C.; Tobías, A.; Riffe, T.:

The need for detailed COVID-19 data in Spain [Correspondence]

The Lancet Public Health 5:11, e576–e576. (2020)