Cohort Fertility

Stata code for reproducing the cohort fertility forecasts and 95% prediction intervals for the paper: Myrskylä, Mikko, Joshua R. Goldstein, and Yen-hsin Alice Cheng.
“New Cohort Fertility Forecasts for the Developed World: Rises, Falls, and Reversals”
Population and Development Review 39(1) : 31–56 (March 2013)


  1. Download the file (compressed folder, 184 kByte) to your computer and open it
  2. Copy the contents of the folder “CTFR_PDR” to your computer
  3. Open the file and set the working directory (two first lines of the code)
  4. Run the file
  5. The forecasts and the 95% prediction intervals are saved in the results-folder