Table 6.3. -Loglikelihood showing goodness of fit at ages 99-109 

(13 countries for periods; 11 countries for cohorts)

Age

Male Female
Logistic Kannisto Quadratic Logistic Kannisto Quadratic
1960-70, period            
99 4 903.061 4 915.469 4 902.515 15 338.373 15 340.313 15 340.266
100 2 500.261 2 505.452 2 500.021 8 933.132 8 924.065 8 923.364
101 1 225.541 1 227.539 1 225.490 4 872.558 4 872.333 4 873.092
102 608.514 608.333 608.685 2 664.168 2 666.153 2 667.819
103 306.362 306.810 306.404 1 420.643 1 419.399 1 419.690
104 135.953 137.289 135.766 714.337 713.583 713.869
105 56.989 56.839 57.074 356.579 355.661 355.586
106 25.772 26.197 25.692 164.532 164.274 164.443
107 9.220 9.061 9.283 73.413 72.408 71.756
108 4.512 4.289 4.594 26.391 26.202 26.130
109 3.026 3.246 2.959 11.052 10.608 10.205
Total 9 779.213 9 800.526 9 778.484 34 575.177 34 564.999 34 566.219
1970-80, period            
99 9 501.554 9 525.891 9 504.239 30 633.581 30 623.995 30 625.293
100 5 172.216 5 192.337 5 174.159 18 226.137 18 211.678 18 214.881
101 2 652.664 2 661.049 2 653.225 10 308.021 10 302.150 10 302.132
102 1 354.846 1 356.665 1 354.818 5 706.191 5 702.957 5 702.527
103 684.493 687.659 684.608 3 030.153 3 029.154 3 028.607
104 322.304 323.216 322.305 1 590.960 1 586.289 1 586.618
105 154.623 156.600 154.656 778.347 773.463 773.793
106 65.449 65.135 65.447 357.601 355.749 355.798
107 30.500 30.491 30.503 168.840 167.686 167.691
108 11.301 11.661 11.290 78.052 76.292 76.248
109 3.626 3.982 3.606 25.952 25.116 25.070
Total 19 953.575 20 014.686 19 958.856 70 903.834 70 854.529 70 858.658
1980-90, period            
99 15 375.771 15 379.537 15 376.033 59 289.849 59 318.256 59 288.401
100 8 901.671 8 917.322 8 904.429 36 679.639 36 660.339 36 668.448
101 4 800.949 4 805.813 4 801.500 21 525.595 21 520.300 21 517.799
102 2 549.964 2 550.991 2 549.918 12 190.512 12 192.817 12 185.902
103 1 353.345 1 356.648 1 353.621 6 832.249 6 825.122 6 825.768
104 661.909 660.976 661.777 3 622.752 3 621.145 3 619.626
105 332.038 331.065 331.946 1 883.966 1 877.431 1 879.489
106 162.851 162.235 162.837 911.473 913.073 910.936
107 75.623 75.562 75.626 446.507 445.938 445.572
108 34.399 34.666 34.390 210.222 205.482 207.742
109 11.705 12.275 11.661 81.690 78.949 80.282
Total 34 260.224 34 287.090 34 263.755 143 674.456 143 658.852 143 629.620
1871-80, cohort            
99 8 875.695 8 871.917 8 878.036 29 520.509 29 516.472 29 516.844
100 5 129.916 5 125.990 5 132.331 18 798.328 18 790.198 18 790.377
101 2 785.152 2 783.275 2 786.369 11 396.714 11393.519 11 393.392
102 1 491.451 1 491.170 1 491.704 6 796.404 6 795.223 6 795.362
103 820.853 820.016 821.430 3 972.598 3 971.853 3 972.065
104 411.365 411.693 411.201 2 256.084 2 256.710 2 257.455
105 227.341 227.040 227.576 1 283.430 1 280.647 1 279.602
106 108.478 108.826 108.248 654.919 654.342 654.325
107 63.072 63.076 63.086 340.554 340.260 340.312
108 31.083 31.022 31.147 174.402 173.305 172.615
109 12.072 11.905 12.242 75.928 75.005 74.304
Total 19 956.478 19 945.930 19 963.368 75 269.870 75 247.533 75 246.617