IMPRS-PHDS elective course on “Multistate Models”
Jutta Gampe, Hein Putter and Ardo van den Hout
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), May 13–17, 2024
The life course of individuals can be conceived as a sequence of transitions between different states, for example (1) from being healthy to being ill, possibly recovering, and finally to death or (2) from living in parental home to living alone, cohabiting with a partner, with or without children, to perhaps living in an institution until death. The aim of life course analysis is to understand the timing and sequence of transitions as well as the risk factors that accelerate or slow down transitions. Multistate models are the statistical framework to analyze life course patterns and to study and predict resulting population dynamics. In this IMPRS-PHDS elective course the participants will be introduced to the concepts of multistate models and will learn how to estimate the essential quantities in the two most frequently encountered data situations: Event-histories, for which the exact times of transitions are known, and panel data, where observations are only made in (more or less) regular intervals, leading to interval-censored data.
For details please see our course outline.