Scientific Presentations

LabTalks­@DCD

Department of Digital and Computational Demography
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Rostock, Germany, July 30, 2025

11:00 AM: Talk with Athina Anastasiadou - Uncovering age-gender patterns in migration: A Bayesian extension of the Rogers–Castro model for European migration corridors

Abstract

Migration is a highly age- and gender-selective process. While age patterns of migration have been extensively studied by demographers, most notably through the widely used Rogers–Castro schedule, gender differences in the age profiles of migration flows have received comparatively little attention. In this study, we analyze a comprehensive dataset of bilateral migration flows within Europe, disaggregated by age and gender, to develop a typology that improves the classification of migration corridors. We extend the Rogers–Castro model by fitting a Bayesian normal model separately to immigration flows for men and women. From the resulting parameter estimates, we derive gender differences within each migration flow and apply K-means clustering to identify distinct types of age–gender migration profiles across corridors.

In doing so, we address a gap in the literature on gender differences in migration and offer new insights into the age–gender structure of migration flows. Our methodological framework provides a robust basis for reevaluating migration schedules and understanding migration patterns through a combined demographic perspective of age and gender.

About

Athina is a doctoral researcher at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in the Laboratory for Migration and Mobility and affiliated with the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) - KNAW/University of Groningen. Her interests lie in understanding and modelling gender in migration patterns and in applying digital trace data and computational methods to migration research.