Journal Article

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth

Hoem, J. M., Kreyenfeld, M. R.
Demographic Research, 15:17, 485–498 (2006)


In the second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first childbearing to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis. We show that an anticipatory approach cannot be used to represent intentionality: People may marry with the intention of having a child, but the analyst should be wary of using anticipatory analysis to pick that up.
The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) in Rostock is one of the leading demographic research centers in the world. It's part of the Max Planck Society, the internationally renowned German research society.