MPIDR Working Paper

Transition to second birth - the case of Russia

Rieck, D.
MPIDR Working Paper WP-2006-036, 28 pages.
Rostock, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (October 2006)
Open Access


This study examines the determinants of second births in Russia before and during the economic and political transition. Using data from the Generations and Gender Survey and apply the method of hazard regression, we find a strong period effect: whereas the second birth risk increased in the 1980s, it decreased significantly after 1992. This effect remains even after controlling for individual characteristics. We argue that the dramatic increase in economic and social uncertainties after the collapse of the communist system in Russia is responsible for the fertility reduction.
Keywords: Russian Federation, fertility
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