Laboratory

Digital and Computational Demography

At a Glance Projects Publications Team

Project

New Perspectives in Mortality Forecasting

Ugofilippo Basellini; in Collaboration with Carlo Giovanni Camarda (French National Institute for Demographic Studies, Paris, France)

This project aims at generating novel insights into the analysis and forecasts of human mortality by introducing new statistical methods based on age-at-death distributions and the decomposition of the mortality age-pattern.  Detailed Description

Publications

Basellini, U.; Camarda, C. G.:

A three-component approach to model and forecast age-at-death distributions

In: Developments in demographic forecasting, 105–129. Cham: Springer International Publishing. (2020)    

Bergeron Boucher, M.-P.; Kjærgaard, S.; Pascariu, M. D.; Aburto, J. M.; Alvarez Martinez, J. A.; Basellini, U.; Rizzi, S.; Vaupel, J. W.:

Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy

In: Developments in demographic forecasting, 131–151. Cham: Springer International Publishing. (2020)    

Pascariu, M. D.; Basellini, U.; Aburto, J. M.; Canudas-Romo, V.:

The linear link: deriving age-specific death rates from life expectancy

Risks 8:4, 109.1–109.18. (2020)