MPIDR Working Paper

Anticipatory analysis and its alternatives in life-course research. Part 2: Marriage and first birth

Hoem, J. M., Kreyenfeld, M. R.

MPIDR Working Paper WP-2006-007, 13 Seiten (März 2006).
Rostock, Max-Planck-Institut für demografische Forschung


In the second part of these reflections, we use the connection between marriage and first childbearing to demonstrate further issues involved in anticipatory analysis. We show that an anticipatory approach cannot be used to represent intentionality: People may marry with the intention of having a child, but the analyst should be weary of using anticipatory analysis to pick that up. (Keywords: anticipatory analysis, conditioning on the future, intentionality, marriage and first childbearing)