MPIDR Working Paper

Timing, sequencing and quantum of life course events: a machine learning approach

Billari, F. C., Fürnkranz, J., Prskawetz, A.
MPIDR Working Paper WP-2000-010
Rostock, Max-Planck-Institut für demografische Forschung (Oktober 2000)
Open Access

Abstract

In this methodological paper we discuss and apply machine learning tech-niques, a core research area in the artificial intelligence literature, to analyse simultaneously timing, sequencing, and quantum of life course events from a comparative perspective. We outline the need for techniques which allow the adoption of a holistic approach to the analysis of life courses, illustrating the specific case of the transition to adulthood. We briefly introduce machine learning algorithms to build decision trees and rule sets and then apply such algorithms to delineate the key features which distinguish Austrian and Ital-ian pathways to adulthood, using Fertility and Family Survey data. The key role of sequencing and synchronisation between events emerges clearly from the methodology used. [AUTHORS]
Das Max-Planck-Institut für demografische Forschung (MPIDR) in Rostock ist eines der international führenden Zentren für Bevölkerungswissenschaft. Es gehört zur Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, einer der weltweit renommiertesten Forschungsgemeinschaften.