MPIDR Working Paper

Calibrating probabilistic forecast paths on past forecast errors: an application to the Finnish Total Fertility Rate

MPIDR Working Paper WP-2024-016, 8 pages.
Rostock, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (July 2024)
Revised September 2024 (Former title: Calibrated probabilistic forecasts of Finnish TFR 2024–2070)
Open Access
The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) in Rostock is one of the leading demographic research centers in the world. It's part of the Max Planck Society, the internationally renowned German research society.