MPIDR Working Paper
Population constraints on pooled surveys in demographic hazard modeling
MPIDR Working Paper WP-2006-039, 43 pages.
Rostock, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (November 2006)
This Working Paper has been published as Working Paper also in the University of Washington, Seattle, Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences, Working Paper Series, http://www.csss.washington.edu/Papers/
In non-experimental research, data on the same population process may be collected simultaneously by more than one instrument. For example, in the present application, two sample surveys and a population birth registration system all collect observations on first births by age and year, while the two surveys additionally collect information on women’s education. To make maximum use of the three data sources, the survey data are pooled and the population data introduced as constraints in a logistic regression equation. Reductions in standard errors about the age and birth-cohort parameters of the regression equation in the order of three-quarters are obtained by introducing the population data as constraints. A halving of the standard errors about the education parameters is achieved by pooling observations from the larger survey dataset with those from the smaller survey. The percentage reduction in the standard errors through imposing population constraints is independent of the total survey sample size.
Keywords: Italy, fertility