Arbeitsbereich

Fertilität und Wohlbefinden

Auf einen Blick Projekte Publikationen Team

Projekt

Leveraging Micro-Level Computational Models to Advance Fertility Forecasting

Geleitet von Daniel Ciganda; Julio César Cesano González; in Zusammenarbeit mit Mikko Myrskylä, Julia Hellstrand (beide: MPIDR)

We advance demographic forecasting, and fertility forecasting in particular, by providing a theoretically and statistically sound framework for producing explanatory forecasts. This framework will be easy to use, adapt, and to extend by other researchers and institutions in charge of informing the design of public policies.  Ausführliche Beschreibung

Publikationen

Ciganda, D.; Hellstrand, J.; Myrskylä, M.:

Future fertility scenarios in Finland: a computational forecasting approach

MPIDR Working Paper WP-2023-010. (2023)    

Ciganda, D.; Todd, N.:

Demographic models of the reproductive process: past, interlude, and future

Population Studies 76:3, 495–513. (2022)    

Ciganda, D.; Lorenti, A.; Dommermuth, L.:

Changes in the educational gradient of fertility not driven by changes in preferences

MPIDR Working Paper WP-2021-016. (2021)    

De-Armas, G.; Rodríguez-Collazo, S.; Álvarez-Vaz, R.; Carrasco, H.; Ciganda, D.:

Extensiones al modelo de segregación de Schelling: primera parte

IESTA Working Papers 2/20, Montevideo. (2020)