May 03, 2021 | News | PAA 2021
MPIDR at the Population Association of America Annual Meeting 2021
Several researchers of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) present their work at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, which takes place in a virtual manner from May 5-8, 2021. The Institute also has an exihibition booth. Please note: All times are U.S. Central Time (GMT -6).
The Population Association of America (PAA) is a non-profit, scientific, professional organization promoting research on population issues. The Association has nearly 3,000 members, including demographers, sociologists, economists, and public health professionals.
The Annual Meeting of the Association is one of the most important meetings for population researchers and has more than 2,000 people participating each year.
Download (PDF File, 3 MB) more information about our researchers
Wednesday, May 5, 2021
Data and Methods for Causal Inference in Demography
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Chair 1: Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR
Culture and Population Dynamics
9:15 AM - 9:15 AM
Emotion Cultures and Variation in Fertility
(Program Number: 16-2)
Natalie Nitsche, MPIDR.
Migration as a Driver of Cultural Change: Evidence of Culinary Integration From Facebook Data
(Program Number: 16-3)
Carolina Coimbra Vieira, Sophie Lohmann & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Aging and the Life Course; and Mortality and Morbidity
9:30 AM - 11:00 AM
Work, Disability, and Retirement: How the Interplay Between Body Mass Index and Heart Conditions Affects Older Individuals’ Trajectories in and Out of the Labor Force
(Program Number: P1 -24)
Angelo Lorenti & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Systolic Blood Pressure and Mortality in South Africa: Evidence From a Nationally Representative Cohort Study
(Program Number: P1 -55)
A. O. Diallo, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; M. Ali, Emory University; P. Geldsetzer, Stanford University; E. Gower, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; T. Mukama, German Cancer Research Center; R. Wagner, University of the Witwatersrand; J. Davies, University of Birmingham; Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR; N. Sudharsanan, Heidelberg Institute of Global Health.
How Universal Is the Relationship Between Life Expectancy and the Causes of Death That Matter Most? Variation in the Epidemiologic Transition Based on 70 Years of Historical Mortality Data
(Program Number: P1 -56)
N.Sudharsanan, Heidelberg Institute of Global Health; J. M.Aburto, University of Oxford; Timothy Riffe & Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR
Excess Mortality in the United States in the Twenty-First Century: An Age-Specific Assessment
(Program Number: P1 -97)
S. Preston, University of Pennsylvania; Yana Catherine Vierboom, MPIDR.
COVID-19 and Fertility
10:45 AM - 10:45 AM
Emotion and Fertility in Times of Disaster: Conceptualizing Fertility Responses to the COVID-19 Pandemic and Beyond
(Program Number: 27-1)
Natalie Nitsche & D. Susie Lee, MPIDR.
New Trends in International Migration
10:45 AM - 10:45 AM
A “Brexodus”? European Migrants in the United Kingdom in the Light of the Facebook Advertising Data
(Program Number: 32-1)
F. Rampazzo, University of Oxford; J. Bijak, University of Southampton; A. Vitali, University of Trento; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute, HBKU; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Social, Economic, and Demographic Consequences of COVID-19
1:00 PM
The Lived Experience of COVID-19 Mortality: Quantifying the Relationship Between Excess Mortality and Family Bereavement
(Program Number: 38-1)
M. Snyder, University of California, Berkeley; Diego Alburez-Gutierrez & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Delayed Fertility and Childlessness
1:00 PM
The Early-Adulthood BMI and Later-Life Childlessness Connection: Operating Through Health, Mental Health, or Union Formation Pathways?
(Program Number: 43-3)
D. Susie Lee & Natalie Nitsche, MPIDR; K. Barclay, Stockholm University.
New Data and Methods in Migration Research
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Discussant 1: Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR
Social, Economic, and Demographic Consequences of COVID-19
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Discussant 1: Marilia Nepomuceno, MPIDR
Applied Demography; Migration and Immigration; and Spatial and Environmental Demography
1:15 PM - 2:45 PM
Modeling International Migration Flows by Integrating Multiple Data Sources
(Program Number: P2-40)
Emanuele Del Fava, MPIDR; A. Wiśniowski, University of Manchester; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
New Methods in Family Demography
4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
Chair 1: Mine Kühn, MPIDR
Place and Health in Europe: Looking Across and Within Countries
4:00 PM - 4:00 PM
An Urban-Rural Old-Age Mortality Crossover: Evidence From Germany and England and Wales
(Program Number: 83-2)
Marcus Ebeling, MPIDR; R. Rau, University of Rostock; E. Kibele, Statistical Office Bremen; S. Kluesener, Federal Institute for Population Research.
Lifespan Inequalities Around the Globe
4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
Discussant 1: Marilia Nepomuceno, MPIDR
Prioritizing Global Health Issues Leveraging Demographic Analysis
(Program Number: 86-1)
C. Bohk-Ewald, University of Helsinki; Peng Li & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Childbearing Postponement and Low Fertility
4:00 PM
Changes in Partnering and First Birth Risks in Finland, 2000–2018
(Program Number: 79-2)
Julia Hellstrand, Jessica Nisén & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Thursday, May 6, 2021
Social Stress and the Health of Children and Adolescents
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Unemployment Among Separated Mothers and Children’s Mental Health Trajectories
(Program Number: 91-2)
Mine Kühn, MPIDR; A.Baranowska-Rataj*, Umeå University; N.Metsä-Simola, University of Helsinki; L. Junna, University of Helsinki; P. Markainen, University of Helsinki
Children, Youth, and Intergenerational Ties; and Education, Work, and Economic Inequality
9:30 AM - 11:00 AM
Inequalities in Retirement Lifespan in the Contemporary United States
(Program Number: P3-92)
Jiaxin Shi & Christian Dudel, MPIDR; C. Monden, University of Oxford & Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR.
School Performance of Immigrants: The Generational Gradient and the Contribution of the Life Course Stage at Migration
(Program Number: P3-99)
Silvia Loi, MPIDR; J. Pitkänen, University of Helsinki; H. Moustgaard, University of Helsinki; Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR; P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki.
Measuring the Economic Costs of Women’s Exclusion and the Benefits From Closing Gender Gaps: Evidence From a Macrosimulation Model
(Program Number: P3-107)
W. Cunningham, World Bank; S. Gupta, World Bank; M. Delbono, World Bank; M. Karra, Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies, Boston University; Joshua Wilde, MPIDR.
Family Mortality and Health
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Global Estimates of Maternal Bereavement: New Indicators of the Cumulative Prevalence of Child Loss in 168 Countries and Territories
(Program Number: 113-2)
E. Smith-Greenaway, University of Southern California; Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, MPIDR; J. Trinitapoli, University of Chicago; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Computational Approaches to Population Health
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Discussant 1: Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, MPIDR
Innovations in Statistical and Formal Demography
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Validation and Mortality Forecasting: Establishing Method Validation Prior to Forecasting
(Program Number: 127-2)
Ricarda Duerst, MPIDR; C. Bohk-Ewald, University of Helsinki.
Family Structure and Child Well-being
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Union Formation, Within-Couple Dynamics, and Child Well-being in Global Comparative Perspective
(Program Number: 130-3)
E. Batyra, University of Pennsylvania; Andres Castro, MPIDR; L. M.Pesando, Department of Sociology and Centre on Population Dynamics, McGill University; Frank Furstenberg, University of Pennsylvania; Hans-Peter Kohler, University of Pennsylvania
Innovations in Measuring Sexual and Reproductive Health
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Temperature, Sexual Behavior, and the Internet: What Can We Learn From Google Searches?
(Program Number: 133-2)
Joshua Wilde & Sophie Lohmann, MPIDR; W. Chen, Fordham University.
Flash: Gender, Sexuality, Work, and Family
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
The Relationship Between Gender Ideology and Education Around the World
(Program Number: 135-2)
A. Hudde & Natalie Nitsche, MPIDR.
Life Course Approaches to Population Health
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Lifelong Body Mass Index Trajectories and Mortality in Two Generations
(Program Number: 136-4)
H. Zheng, The Ohio State University; P. Echave, Ohio State University; N. Mehta, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston; Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Family Structure and Child Well-being
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Union Formation, Within-Couple Dynamics, and Child Well-being in Global Comparative Perspective
(Program Number: 130-3)
Andres Castro MPIDR; E. Batyra, University of Pennsylvania; F. Furstenberg, University of Pennsylvania; H-P Kohler, University of Pennsylvania; L. M. Pesando, Department of Sociology and Centre on Population Dynamics, McGill University.
COVID-19; Data and Methods; and Race and Ethnicity
1:15 PM - 2:45 PM
Linking Excess Mortality to Mobility Data During the COVID-19 Pandemic in England and Wales
(Program Number: P4-41)
Ugofilippo Basellini, Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Emanuele Del Fava & Daniela Perrotta, MPIDR; M. Bonetti, Bocconi University; C. Camarda, Institut National d’Études Démographiques (INED); Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Going Solo in a Pandemic: A Longitudinal Time Diary Study of Social Engagement and Media Consumption for Single and Partnered Respondents Before and During COVID-19
(Program Number: P4-57)
Robert Gordon Rinderknecht, MPIDR; D. Negraia, University of Oxford; K. Drotning, University of Maryland, College Park; L. Doan; L. Sayer, University of Maryland; J. Fish, University of Maryland; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
COVID-19 and the Future of U.S. Fertility: What Can We Learn From Google?
(Program Number: P4-59)
Joshua Wilde & Sophie Lohmann, MPIDR; W. Chen, Fordham University.
The Gender Gap Reversal in Educational Attainment and Age Differences in Marital and Nonmarital Unions Across Europe
(Program Number: P4-66)
André Grow, MPIDR; J. Van Bavel, KU Leuven - University of Leuven.
Formal Demography—Innovations in Theory and Methods
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM
Mortality Change and Child Survival From the Point of View of a Prospective Mother
(Program Number: 146-2)
I. Williams, University of Buenos Aires; Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, MPIDR.
Romantic Relationships, Family Relationships, and Mental Health
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM
With a Little Help From Grandparents? Depression Trajectories Among Separating Mothers
(Program Number: 149-3)
N. Metsä-Simola, University of Helsinki; A. Baranowska-Rataj, Umeå University; H. Remes, University of Helsinki; Mine Kühn, MPIDR; P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki.
Family Demography; and Historical Demography
3:15 PM - 4:45 PM
Problems in the Family: Controlling for Age, Period, or Cohort in Sibling Comparison Designs
(Program Number: P5-9)
B. Wilson, Stockholm University; Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR; S. Aradhya, Lund University; A. Goisis, University College London.
New Perspectives on Divorce in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Cohort Analysis of Women Born Between 1955–2000
(Program Number: P5-89)
Benson John & Natalie Nitsche, MPIDR.
Demographic and Forecasting Models During Pandemics
4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
Modeling COVID-19 Mortality at the Regional Level in Italy
(Program Number: 163-1)
Ugofilippo Basellini, MPIDR; C. Camarda, Institut National d’Études Démographiques (INED).
Analyzing the Spread of the Coronavirus Pandemic With the Demographic Scaling Model
(Program Number: 163-3)
C. Bohk-Ewald, University of Helsinki; Christian Dudel & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Data in a Crisis: Collecting New and Leveraging Old
4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
The Short-Term Mortality Fluctuations Series: New Data Resource on Weekly Mortality
(Program Number: 164-2)
Dmitri A. Jdanov, Ainhoa Alustiza Galarza, Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, Domantas Jasilionis & Laszlo Nemeth, MPIDR; D. Leon, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (UK); M. Barbieri, Institut National d’Études Démographiques (INED); C. Boe, University of California-Berkeley.
Assessing the Reliability of Facebook’s Advertising Data for Use in Demographic Research
(Program Number: 164-3)
André Grow, Daniela Perrotta, Emanuele Del Fava & J. Cimentada, MPIDR; F. Rampazzo, University of Oxford; Beatriz Sofía Gil Clavel & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR; R. Flores, University of Chicago; I. Ventura, University of Chicago; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute, HBKU; K. Garimella.
Fertility Transition in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
4:00 PM - 5:15 PM
Discussant 1: Joshua Wilde, MPIDR
Friday, May 7, 2021
Cohabitation and Nonmarital Relationships
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Do Couples Face Economic Barriers to Marriage? Understanding the Contribution of Men's and Women's Economic Precariousness on First Cohabitation Outcomes in the United Kingdom, 1991–2018
(Program Number: 185-3)
Lydia Veronica Palumbo & Peter Eibich, MPIDR; A. Berrington, University of Southampton.
Historical Origins of Health Disparities
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Do U.S. Adults Spend More Time Alone Today Than in the Past? Evidence From the American Heritage Time Use Study
(Program Number: 189-1)
D. Negraia, University of Oxford; Robert Gordon Rinderknecht, Sophie Lohmann & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Fertility, Family Planning, Sexual Behavior, and Reproductive Health; and Religion and Culture
9:30 AM - 11:00 AM
The Prospective Power of Personality on Childbearing: A Longitudinal Study Based on Data From Germany
(Program Number: P6-28)
Steffen Peters, MPIDR
Flash: New Research in Historical Demography
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Identifying and Correcting Bias in Big Crowd-Sourced Online Genealogies
(Program Number: 207-8)
M. Chong, University of Toronto; Diego Alburez-Gutierrez & Emanuele Del Fava, MPIDR; M. Alexander, University of Toronto; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
COVID-19 and School Closures
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Countries Embracing Maternal Employment Have Opened Schools Sooner After COVID-19 Lockdowns
(Program Number: 197-2)
A. Hudde & Natalie Nitsche, MPIDR.
New Methods for Modeling Social Stratification and Social Change
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Method for Reconstructing Mortality by Socioeconomic Group
(Program Number: 198-4)
Laszlo Nemeth & Domantas Jasilionis, MPIDR; H. Brønnum-Hansen, University of Copenhagen; Dmitri A. Jdanov, MPIDR.
Aging and Caregiving
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
The “Sandwich Generation” Revisited: Global Demographic Drivers of the Demand of Care Time
(Program Number: 218-3)
Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, MPIDR; C. Mason, University of California, Berkeley; Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Socioeconomic Status and Mortality in Europe
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
How the Measurement of Income Impacts Health Inequality Research
(Program Number: 227-2)
Jiaxin Shi, MPIDR; L. Tarkiainen; P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki & Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR.
Occupational Disparities in Old-Age Mortality: A Comparison of Trends in Modal and Average Length of Life in Finland, 1971–2017
(Program Number: 227-3)
Viorela Diaconu & Alyson A. van Raalte, MPIDR; P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki.
COVID-19 and Mental Health
1:00 PM - 2:15 PM
Motherhood and Stress During COVID-19: Exploring the Moderating Effects of Employment
(Program Number: 215-2)
X. Yan; L. Sayer, University of Maryland; L. Doan; Robert Gordon Rinderknecht, MPIDR; K. Drotning, University of Maryland, College Park; J. N. Fish, University of Maryland, College Park; C. Buck, University of Maryland, College Park.
Immigrant Health, Education, and Well-being
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM
At the Intersection of Adverse Life Course Pathways: The Effects on Health by Migration Status
(Program Number: 244-1)
Silvia Loi, Peng Li & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Fertility Changes in Less-Developed Countries
2:30 PM - 3:45 PM
Savings and the Demographic Dividend: Evidence From a Macrosimulation Model
(Program Number: 239-1)
Joshua Wilde, MPIDR; M. Karra, Frederick S. Pardee School of Global Studies, Boston University.
Saturday, May 8, 2021
International Comparisons and the COVID-19 Pandemic
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
COVerAGE-DB: A Database of Age-Structured COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
(Program Number: 250-1)
Enrique Acosta & Timothy Riffe, MPIDR; T. COVerAGE-DB team, Various.
Behaviors and Attitudes in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Insights From a Cross-National Facebook Survey
(Program Number: 250-3)
Daniela Perrotta & André Grow, MPIDR; F. Rampazzo, Centre for Population Change, University of Southampton; J. Cimentada & Emanuele Del Fava, Beatriz Sofía Gil Clavel & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.
Cultural and Structural Forces Shaping Family Life
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Economic Development, Women’s Education, and Their Fertility – A Study Across and Within European Countries
(Program Number: 253-4)
Jessica Nisén, MPIDR; S. Kluesener, Federal Institute for Population Research; J. Dahlberg, Stockholm University; L. Dommermuth, Statistics Norway; Aiva Jasilioniene, MPIDR; M. Kreyenfeld, Hertie School of Governance GmbH; T. Lappegard, University of Oslo; Peng Li, MPIDR; P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki; K. Neels, Antwerp University; B. Riederer, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), Vienna Institute of Demography/ Austrian Academy of Sciences; S. te Riele, Statistics Netherlands; H. Sulak, Federal Institute for Population Research; L. Szabó, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute; A. Trimarchi, Department of Sociology, University of Vienna; F. Viciana, Institute of Statistics and Cartography of Andalusia; Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Leveraging New Digital Data Sources to Address the COVID-19 Pandemic
9:15 AM - 10:30 AM
Discussant 1: Ugofilippo Basellini, MPIDR
Chair 1: André Grow, MPIDR
Immigration and Fertility
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Socioeconomic Mediators of Immigrant Childbearing: The Direct and Indirect Effects of Age at Arrival
(Program Number: 273-3)
B. Wilson, Stockholm University; Maarten J. Bijlsma, MPIDR.
Health Effects of Despair, Isolation, and Stress
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Deterioration of Cardiovascular Mortality in the United States, 2000–2018
(Program Number: 275-4)
Enrique Acosta, Marcus Ebeling & Mikko Myrskyla, MPIDR; N. Mehta, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston.
Flash: Social Networks, Social Support, and Health
10:45 AM - 12:00 PM
Heterogeneities in Social Mixing Patterns in Rural and Urban Areas of Kenya
(Program Number: 278-1)
Emanuele Del Fava, MPIDR; I. Adema, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme; M. C. Kiti, Emory University; P. Poletti, Fondazione Bruno Kessler; D. J. Nokes, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme; S. Merler, Fondazione Bruno Kessler; P. Manfredi, University of Pisa; A. Melegaro, Bocconi University.
Close Social Networks Among Older Adults: The Online and Offline Perspectives
(Program Number: 278-4)
Beatriz Sofía Gil Clavel & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR; V. Bordone, University of Vienna.
Multiplatform Social Media Use: Little Evidence of Impacts on Adult Well-being
(Program Number: 278-6)
Sophie Lohmann & Emilio Zagheni, MPIDR.