April 11, 2023 | News | Timetable
MPIDR at the Population Association of America Annual Meeting 2023
Several researchers of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) present their work at the Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, which takes place from April 12-15, 2023. The Institute also has an on-site exhibition booth #207.
The Population Association of America (PAA) is a non-profit, scientific, professional organization promoting research on population issues. The Association has nearly 3,000 members, including demographers, sociologists, economists, and public health professionals.
The Annual Meeting of the Association is one of the most important meetings for population researchers and has more than 2,000 people participating each year.
List of MPIDR Participants (PDF File, 2 MB)
Wednesday, April 12, 2023
9:00 AM - 5:00 PM
Data and Modeling Approaches to Assessing Climate-conflict Impact on Population Dynamics (Member Initiated Meetings)
Room: Strand 9
Description: Conveners: Raya Muttarak, Professor of Demography, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy Kathryn Grace, Associate Director, Minnesota Population Center & Associate Professor, Geography, Environment and Society, University of Minnesota, USA Roman Hoffman, Research Group Leader "Social Cohesion, Health and Wellbeing", International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Austria Liliana Adriano, Lecturer in Global Health, University of Southampton, UK Risto Conte Keivabu, Postdoc Laboratory of Digital and Computational Demography, Max Planck Institute of Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany Francesca Zanasi, Postdoc POPCLIMA, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Bologna, Italy Description: The ongoing conflicts in Ukraine, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, and Afghanistan, to name a few, coupled with small- and large-scale climate change impacts (e.g., seasonal variability, extreme events, and long-term changing conditions) have the potential to strongly affect human health, well-being, livelihoods, and social systems. Climate change impacts include extreme events with a large spatial footprint like hurricanes and floods, but they also include more local experiences like poorer growing season conditions, waterborne disease outbreaks or more frequent heat waves during the warm season. The effects of these events can be exacerbated when climate change impacts and conflict come together. As part of the activities of the IUSSP Scientific Panel on Population dynamics under global conflict and climate change, the workshop aims at providing researchers with theoretical and analytical tools to address how conflict and climate change affect a wide range of demographic outcomes, such as health, fertility, mortality, and migration. The one-day workshop comprises four parts that reconcile theoretical approaches and hands-on activities. First, we provide an introduction to and overview of demographic research on conflict, climate change, and population dynamics. Second, an overview of the demographic, climate, and conflict data sources available for research in this field, coupled with a practical session on linking spatial conflict and climate data (e.g. ACLED and ERA5 respectively) with georeferenced micro-level data (e.g. Demographic and Health Surveys) using the software R. Third, the afternoon session will be devoted to critically approach conflict and climate change measurement, with reasoning on operationalization and causal inference. Finally, the workshop will conclude with a practical session on statistical modeling with the software R.
1:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Room: Strand 8
Description: The SOCSIM demographic microsimulator, developed at the University of California, Berkeley, has supported studies in social sciences and demography for decades. The simulator uses stochastic models to produce synthetic populations with genealogical structures based on historical demographic rates. Research using SOCSIM continues to be published in the highest-ranked demographic journals, especially in studies of kinship dynamics (e.g., family structure, kin availability and loss, generational overlap, etc.). This workshop will introduce a new chapter in the history of SOCSIM: a portable and platform-independent release of the simulator that runs in the R language for statistical programming. We will cover the basics of SOCSIM, review recent work using SOCSIM by leading scholars, and help participants get started with the R package ‘RSOCSIM.’
1:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Room: Strand 13 A
Description: This meeting is dedicated to the launch of the first global database of scholarly migration which is beneficial to all PAA attendees and especially those interested in migration research. The Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research curated and hosts this database. The meeting will consist of two keynotes, one panel discussion, one brief hands-on session on how to download and use the database and a short reception to celebrate the launch of the database.
1:00 PM - 5:00 PM
Room: Bolden 1
Description: The workshop aims to introduce two types of big data, i.e., Google Trends and Twitter data. This workshop will be the great opportunity for the researchers in the study of migration but also demography in general to get familiar with two popular sources of data. We plan to begin the session by introducing the data format, related literature, empirical findings, advantages and critical challenges of such data. We then plan to have more interactive sessions on how to retrieve these data and write and search inquiries.
Thursday, April 13, 2023
8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Demographic Patterns in COVID-19 Vaccination
Room: Strand 11 A
4-1 The COVerAGE-DB Vaccination Addon: A Global Database of Age-harmonized COVID-19 Vaccination Time Series
M. Elzalabany; M. Kniffka; and J. Schöley, all: MPIDR; E. Acosta, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; T. Riffe, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU).
Methods for Mechanisms, Mediation, and Decomposition
Room: Bolden 1
5-3 Contribution of Health Behaviors to Depression Risk across Birth Cohorts
M. Gueltzow, MPIDR; M. J. Bijlsma, University of Groningen/MPIDR; F. van Lenthe, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands; M. Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Generational Shifts and Attitudes towards Fertility
Room: Bolden 3
11-4 Closing in the Gender Gap: The Fertility Consequences of Job Loss among Women and Men - a Register-based Study in Norway
R. Tyagi, MPIDR; L. Dommermuth, Statistics Norway; V. Skirbekk, Norwegian Institute of Public Health; M. Myrskyla, MPIDR.
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Poster Session 01: Aging and the Life Course
Room: Elite Hall A
A Multistate Analysis and Decomposition of Disability-Free Life Expectancy Trends in Italy 2004-2019
M. Moretti, Sapienza University of Rome; T. Riffe, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU); A. Lorenti, MPIDR.
Are There Still Differences? Life Course Health of East and West Germans Born before and after the German Reunification.
T. Vogt, University of Groningen; L. Bister, University of Groningen; M. Kühn, MPIDR.
9:30 AM - 10:45 AM
Healthy Aging in International Contexts
Room: Strand 11 B
25-4 Gender Disparities in Healthy Life Expectancy at Older Ages: A Cross-National Comparison
V. G. di Lego Goncalves, Vienna Institute of Demography; M. Nepomuceno, MPIDR; C. Turra, CEDEPLAR.
Measuring Migration with Public and other Data Sources
Room: Strand 8
26-2 War and Migration: Quantifying the Russian Exodus with Digital Trace Data
A. Anastasiadou, MPIDR; A. Volgin, University of Manchester.
Historical Demography—Methods
Room: Bolden 1
29-2 Analysing Biases in Genealogies using Demographic Microsimulation
L. P. Calderón-Bernal, D. Alburez-Gutierrez, and E. Zagheni, MPIDR.
Gender Gaps: New Evidence and Directions
Room: Strand 12 A
31-4 Changing Work-Family Life Courses and the Future Gender Pension Gap in Germany: A Machine Learning Approach
L. Vecgaile, MPIDR.
Work and Family in the COVID-19 Era
Room: Strand 13 A
32-3 Gender Inequality in Childcare and Parental Mental Health during the Covid-19 Pandemic in Germany. Do Gender Role Attitudes Matter?
N. Hiekel and M. Kühn, both: MPIDR.
11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Immigration and Life Course
Room: Strand 3
65-4 Immigrant-Native Health Disparities: Living Arrangements and the Speed of Chronic Disease Accumulation in Old Age
S. Y. Jang and S. Loi, both: MPIDR; A. Oksuzyan, Bielefeld University.
Mortality Trends in the US and other High Income Countries
Room: Bolden 6
67-2 How Major Risk Factors Influence Mortality Trends in the National Health Interview Survey
S. Preston, University of Pennsylvania; Y. Vierboom and M. Myrskyla, both: MPIDR.
67-3 Deviating Temporal Trends of Substance Abuse Mortality in High-income Countries
A. Adarsh, MPIDR; E. Acosta, Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics; M. Myrskyla, MPIDR; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
Poster Session 03: Mortality and Morbidity
Room: Elite Hall A
Mortality of NFL Players: How Do They Differ from the General Population?
R. Rau, University of Rostock/MPIDR; S. Aradhya, Stockholm University; C. Schmertmann, Florida State University.
Cold-Related Winter Mortality in Hungary and Portugal, 1980–2017
L. Nemeth, MPIDR; A. Azevedo; L. Balint, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute.
The Contribution of Myocardial Infarction to Rural–Urban Mortality Differences in Germany
M. Ebeling, MPIDR; M. Muehlichen and S. Kluesener, both: Federal Institute for Population Research.
The Contribution of Mortality and Kinship Structure to the Black–White Inheritance Gap in the United States
O. Hexel, D. Alburez-Gutierrez, and E. Zagheni, all: MPIDR.
Excess Mortality by Cause of Death During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Population-Level Analysis for England and Wales
R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; A. Tilstra, Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science; J. Schöley, MPIDR; J. M. Aburto, University of Southern Denmark; C. Angus, University of Sheffield; J. Dowd, University of Oxford.
Socioeconomic Disparities in Life Expectancy and Life Span in Mexico, 1990–2015
A. C. Gómez Ugarte Valerio, MPIDR.
Widowhood and Mortality: Delineating Heterogeneous Effects Using Random Survival Forests
Jiaxin Shi, MPIDR; G. Pan, University of Oxford.
2:00 PM - 3:15 PM
Cross-National Comparisons of Fertility
Room: Bolden 3
79-1 Human Fertility after a Disaster: A Systematic Literature Review
D. S. Lee, MPIDR; E. Batyra and A. Castro, both: Center for Demographic Studies, Autonomous University of Barcelona; J. Wilde, MPIDR.
Immigration, Diversity, and Trust in Society
Room: Bolden 6
85-2 How Attitudes Toward Refugees Are Shaped by the Sex Ratio of Inflows: Evidence from an Online Survey Experiment
C.-J. Tsai and G. Rinderknecht, both: MPIDR; J. Palmer, Pompeu Fabra University; E. Zagheni, MPIDR.
Flash: Socioeconomic Inequalities in Mortality
Room: Empire D
Chair 1: Alyson van Raalte, MPIDR
3:00 PM - 4:30 PM
Poster Session 04: Migration, Immigration, Geographic Mobility
Room: Elite Hall A
Origin and Destination Attachment: Study of Cultural Integration on Twitter
J. Kim, MPIDR; A. Sîrbu, University of Pisa; G. Rossetti and F. Giannotti, both: National Research Council of Italy; H. Rapoport, Paris School of Economics.
Legal Status Legacies and the Labor Market Incorporation of Return Migrants
E. Jacobs, MPIDR.
Gendered Patterns of Global Scholarly Migration: Evidence on Mobile Researchers from Bibliometric Data
X. Zhao and A. Akbaritabar, both: MPIDR; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; E. Zagheni, MPIDR.
Edits on Wikipedia in Response to Big Migration Events
C. Vieira, E. Sanliturk, and E. Zagheni, all: MPIDR.
Sex- and Gender-Based Differences in Migration Patterns: A Systematic Literature Review
A. Anastasiadou, J. Kim, and E. Sanliturk, all: MPIDR; H. de Valk, NIDI/Vrije Universiteit Brussel; E. Zagheni, MPIDR.
Identifying Refugee Needs by Online Search Patterns: The Case of Ukrainians in Europe
E. Sanliturk, MPIDR; V. J. Deimantas, Lithuanian Social Research Centre.
3:30 PM - 4:45 PM
Flash: Socioeconomic Inequalities in Health and Disability
Room: Empire D
Chair 1: Jiaxin Shi, MPIDR
Mental Health in Old Age
Room: Strand 11 B
93-4 Loneliness and Cognitive Health: A Counterfactual Analysis Using the Parametric G-Formula
S. Sharma and J. M. Hale, both: University of St Andrews; A. Lorenti, and M. Myrskyla, both: MPIDR; H. Kulu, University of St Andrews.
Beyond the Nuclear Family: The Role of other Adults in Children's Lives
Room: Strand 8
94-2 Are the Grandparents Alright? The Health Consequences of Grandparental Child-Care Provision
P. Eibich and X. Zai, both: MPIDR.
National/Subnational Comparisons of COVID-19 Mortality
Room: Strand 11 A
95-4 COVID-19 Pandemic and East–West Divide in Life Expectancy Losses in Europe: 2020–2021 Analysis
V. Shkolnikov, S. Timonin, and D. Jdanov, all: MPIDR.
Household Labor
Room: Bolden 2
99-1 Couples’ Ideological Pairings and Housework Sharing
N. Nitsche, MPIDR; D. Grunow, Goethe University Frankfurt; A. Hudde, University of Cologne, Institute of Sociology and Social Psychology (ISS).
Social Inequities in Fertility and Reproductive Health
Room: Strand 2
101-1 Educational Differences in Fertility Among Female Same-Sex Couples
M. Ponkilainen and E. Einio, both: University of Helsinki; M. Myrskyla, MPIDR; M. Pietilainen, Statistics Finland.
5:00 PM - 6:30 PM
Poster Session 05: Neighborhoods, Environment, and Spatial Demography
Room: Elite Hall A
Heat and School Absences
R. Conte Keivabu, MPIDR.
Measuring Subnational Longevity in a Small Country: A Comparative Analysis of Three Approaches
D. Jasilionis, L. Nemeth, and D. Jdanov, all: MPIDR.
Subnational Population Estimates and Projections for Mexico Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: Insights and Implications for Population Policy
R. Regules García, Population Council; A. C. Gómez Ugarte Valerio, MPIDR; H. Zoraghein, Population Council; L. Jiang, Population Council and Shanghai University.
Friday, April 14, 2023
8:00 AM - 9:15 AM
Work and Retirement: Transitions and Changing Work Contexts
Room: Strand 10 B
Discussant 1: Christian Dudel, MPIDR
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
Poster Session 06: Family, Children, and Intergenerational Relations
Room: Elite Hall A
Pathways into Single Motherhood, Repartnering, and Trajectories of Antidepressant Medication Purchases
M. Kühn, MPIDR; N. Metsä-Simola and P. Martikainen, University of Helsinki/MPIDR.
Indirect Estimation of the Timing of First Union Dissolution with Incomplete Marriage Histories B. M. John and N. Nitsche, both: MPIDR.
9:30 AM - 10:45 AM
Fertility and COVID-19
Room: Bolden 4
Discussant 1 N. Nitsche, MPIDR
Discussant 2: J. Wilde, MPIDR
Chair: Jasmin Abdel Ghany, MPIDR
The Demography of Forced Migration
Room: Bolden 5
146-2 Migration and Fertility Behavior: A Comparison between Urban Refugees and Host Population
E. Sanliturk, MPIDR; L. Azzollini; V. J. Deimantas, Lithuanian Social Research Centre; S. Koksal, Institute for Social and Economic Research, University of Essex.
Incorporating Concepts of Space Into Mortality Analyses
Room: Bolden 6
147-4 Evaluation of Small-Area Estimation Methods for Mortality Schedules
E. Denecke, MPIDR; P. Grigoriev, Federal Institute for Population Research; R. Rau, University of Rostock/MPIDR.
10:30 AM - 12:00 PM
Poster Session 07: COVID-19; Data and Methods
Room: Elite Hall A
Contrasting Global Gender Gaps in STEM Using Facebook Data and Offline Indicators
C. Vieira, MPIDR; M. Vasconcelos, IBM Research.
Variation in the Burden of the COVID-19 Pandemic Across Federal States in Germany: The Role of Reported COVID-19 Morbidity and Selected Structural Indicators
M. Kolobova; D. Jdanov, D. Jasilionis, and V. Shkolnikov, all: MPIDR; R. Rau, University of Rostock/MPIDR.
Assessing the Reliability of Demographic Outcomes Through Facebook Surveys in Senegal
J. Donzowa, D. Perrotta, and E. Zagheni, all: MPIDR.
Assessing Self-selection Biases in Online Surveys: Evidence From the COVID-19 Health Behavior Survey
J. Donzowa, D. Perrotta, and E. Zagheni, all: MPIDR.
The Demographic Profile of Weibo Users
O. Hexel, MPIDR; W. Qian, University of Michigan; E. Zagheni, MPIDR; R. Kashyap, University of Oxford; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute.
The Daily Lives of Crowdsourced U.S. Respondents: A Time-Use Comparison of MTurk, Prolific, and ATUS
G. Rinderknecht, MPIDR; L. Doan; L. Sayer, University of Maryland.
Methodological Considerations in Social Vulnerability Index Construction across International Contexts
S. Reid; R. Paul, International Institute for Population Sciences; C. Vieira, MPIDR; C. Wolfe, University of Nevada, Reno; Y. Zhao, New York University; Y. Zhang, University of Oxford China Centre; R. Chunara, New York University.
11:00 AM - 12:15 PM
Spatial and Temporal Dynamics of Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Room: Strand 4
155-3 Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic on Life Expectancy and Premature Mortality in the German Federal States in 2020 and 2021
I. Marinetti and D. Jdanov, both: MPIDR; F. Janssen, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute - KNAW/University of Groningen, The Hague, The Netherlands - Population Research Centre, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Flash: New Data and Methods for Studying Migration
Room: Empire D
166-2 Modeling International Migration Flows in Europe by Integrating Administrative and Survey Data
E. del Fava; A. Wiśniowski, University of Manchester; M. Danko and E. Zagheni, both: MPIDR.
1:00 PM - 2:30 PM
Poster Session 08: Education, Employment, and Inequality
Room: Elite Hall A
Educational Gradient in Disability-Free Life Expectancies Across Europe: Evidence from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe
D. Stonkute and A. Lorenti, both: MPIDR; J. J. Spijker.
1:30 PM - 2:45 PM
Gender Disparities in Health: Mechanisms and Pathways
Room: Strand 11 A
173-4: The Role of Labor Market Inequalities in the Gender Gap in Depression Risk Among Older U.S. Adults
M. Gueltzow, MPIDR; M. J. Bijlsma, University of Groningen/MPIDR; F. van Lenthe, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, Netherlands; M. Myrskyla, MPIDR.
Education, Family Change, and Fertility
Room: Strand 1
182-1: Repartnering and Fertility in the Global South: Regularities and Distinctions
B. M. John, MPIDR; V. Adjiwanou, Université du Québec à Montréal; N. Nitsche, MPIDR.
Consequences of Immigration for Sending Communities
Room: Strand 2
186-3 Characterizing High-Skilled Mobility Patterns in Europe via LinkedIn
D. Perrotta and T. Theile, both: MPIDR; C. Callejo Penalba, Aalto University; K. Garimella, Rutgers School of Communication and Information; I. Weber, Qatar Computing Research Institute; E. Zagheni, MPIDR.
3:00 PM - 4:15 PM
Mexican and Latin American Mortality in the Context of COVID-19
Room: Strand 10 A
Discussant 1: Marília Nepomuceno, MPIDR
All in the Family: Socioeconomic Status and Health
Room: Strand 11 A
192-4 Stable Marital Histories Predict Happiness and Health Across Educational Groups
M. Myrskyla, MPIDR; S. Kulathinal, University of Helsinki; M. Mäki; A. Rotkirch, Population Research Institute; A. Hagglund, Univesity of Turku.
Saturday, April 15, 2023
9:00 AM - 10:15 AM
Socioeconomic Disparities in Morbidity and Mortality
Room: Strand 11 A
Discussant 1: Alyson van Raalte, MPIDR
212-3 Are We All Similar Before Death? Sociodemographic Inequalities in Pathways to Death in Sweden
M. Ebeling, MPIDR; A. Meyer and K. Modig, Karolinska Institutet.
Repartnering and Union Formation Over the Life Course
Room: Bolden 2
218-3 Repartnering and Single Mothers’ Mental Health and Life Satisfaction Trajectories
P. Dierker, M. Kühn, and M. Myrskyla, all: MPIDR.
218-4 Marital Life Courses in Sub-Saharan Africa: All-Cause Union Dissolution, Its Timing, and Time Spent Outside Marriage
B. M. John and N. Nitsche, both: MPIDR.
Men’s Fertility and Reproductive Health
Room: Strand 1
Discussant 1: Christian Dudel, MPIDR
221-1 Too Many Men? Modernization and the Relevance of Population Imbalances for Male Childlessness
H.-A. Schubert, MPIDR.
221-4 The Prospective Association Between Personality Factors and Family Formation Processes Among Males in Sweden: Evidence from Register Data
S. Peters, MPIDR.
9:00 AM - 10:30 AM
Poster Session 10: Fertility, Family Planning, and Reproductive Health: Gender and Sexuality
Room: Elite Hall A
Increasing Stillbirth Rates in Germany: The Influence of Changes in Population Structure
M. Kniffka, MPIDR; R. Rau, University of Rostock/MPIDR; M. Kühn, J. Schöley, and N. Nitsche, all: MPIDR.
Gender Norms, Time Use, and Partnership Dissolution Following Involuntary Job Loss
R. Tyagi and P. Eibich, both: MPIDR; V. Skirbekk.
10:30 AM - 11:45 AM
Environmental and Climate Influences on Morbidity and Mortality
Room: Strand 4
245-2 Extreme Heat and Health in Old Age
R. Conte Keivabu, MPIDR; F. Zanasi, University of Bologna.